Skip to main content.

Tropical Sea Temperatures


Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Infrared Radar Map

Current Atlantic Satellite Loop


Current Atlantic Infrared Satellite Loop

Current Pacific Satellite Loop


Current Pacific Infrared Satellite Loop

Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean



NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

 


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
abnt20 knhc 222304
twoat 

tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt sat jul 22 2017

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico:

tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
forecaster brennan


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
no tropical cyclones as of sun, 23 jul 2017 02:37:02 gmt


Eastern Pacific



NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

 


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
abpz20 knhc 222325
twoep 

tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
500 pm pdt sat jul 22 2017

for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

the national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
storm greg, located over a thousand miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the baja california peninsula, on tropical
depression nine-e, located several hundred miles south of mexico,
and on tropical depression ten-e, located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the baja california
peninsula.

tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

public advisories on tropical depression ten-e are issued under wmo
header wtpz35 knhc and under awips header miatcpep5.
forecast/advisories on ten-e are issued under wmo header
wtpz25 knhc and under awips header miatcmep5.

$$
forecaster blake

Tropical Storm Tropical

  • Summary for Tropical Storm Greg (EP2/EP072017)
    ...GREG MOVING WESTWARD... ...FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... As of 8:00 PM PDT Sat Jul 22 the center of Greg was located near 14.9, -126.5 with movement W at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Tropical Storm Greg

  • Tropical Storm Greg Public Advisory Number 23
    Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 230232 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Greg Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072017 800 PM PDT Sat Jul 22 2017 ...GREG MOVING WESTWARD... ...FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.9N 126.5W ABOUT 1215 MI...1955 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Greg was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 126.5 West. Greg is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A westward motion is expected to continue through Monday with a slight decrease in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast to begin by early Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Greg Forecast Advisory Number 23
    Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 230231 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072017 0300 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 126.5W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 126.5W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 125.9W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.9N 128.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.8N 130.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.9N 132.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.2N 134.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.3N 137.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 17.5N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 17.5N 143.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 126.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Greg Forecast Discussion Number 23
    Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 230233 TCDEP2 Tropical Storm Greg Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072017 800 PM PDT Sat Jul 22 2017 Greg's cloud pattern remains unimpressive, with a rather disorganized area of convection found to the west and northwest of the low-level center. The latest Dvorak estimates are about the same as before, so the initial intensity estimate remains 45 kt. Little change in strength is expected during the first 24 hours, as the near-storm environment is not expected to change much during that time. Afterward, however, the usually lethal combination of cooling SSTs and a drying low- to mid-level atmosphere, along with increasing shear at days 4-5, should bring about the gradual demise of Greg. Remnant low status is now forecast by 96 hours, and the new NHC intensity forecast is in line with the bulk of the latest guidance. A timely SSMIS pass from 23/0005Z was helpful in establishing the initial position of Greg, which is a little south and west of previous estimates. Based on this, the initial motion estimate is 265/11, as Greg continues moving to the south of an expansive low- to mid-level ridge over the eastern Pacific. This ridge will begin to weaken in 48-72 hours, which should result in Greg turning a little more poleward during that time with a slight decrease in forward speed. By the end of the period, the shallow remnants of Greg should turn westward in the low-level trade wind flow over the central Pacific. Based on the initial position and the trend in the latest guidance, the new NHC track forecast is faster and has been adjusted to the left of the previous forecast, especially at days 3 through 5. The NHC prediction is close to the latest consensus aids through day 3, but lies a bit to the right of those aids at days 4 and 5 out of respect to continuity. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 14.9N 126.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 14.9N 128.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 14.8N 130.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 24/1200Z 14.9N 132.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 25/0000Z 15.2N 134.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 72H 26/0000Z 16.3N 137.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 27/0000Z 17.5N 140.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 28/0000Z 17.5N 143.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brennan ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Greg Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
    Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 230232 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM GREG WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072017 0300 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 3 75(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) 15N 130W 50 X 20(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 15N 130W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 21(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Greg Graphics
    Tropical Storm Greg 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 23 Jul 2017 02:36:46 GMT

    Tropical Storm Greg 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 23 Jul 2017 02:36:46 GMT ]]>

Tropical Depression Tropical

  • Summary for Tropical Depression Nine-E (EP4/EP092017)
    ...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT POISED TO STRENGTHEN... As of 4:00 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 the center of Nine-E was located near 10.5, -99.3 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression Nine-E

  • Tropical Depression Nine-E Public Advisory Number 6
    Issued at 400 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 222043 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine-E Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092017 400 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017 ...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT POISED TO STRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.5N 99.3W ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine-E was located near latitude 10.5 North, longitude 99.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. However, some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression could reach hurricane status in a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Avila ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Advisory Number 6
    Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 222042 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 99.3W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 99.3W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 98.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 11.2N 100.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 12.2N 102.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.0N 104.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 13.7N 105.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 16.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 17.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 99.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Discussion Number 6
    Issued at 400 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 222044 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Nine-E Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092017 400 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017 Recent ASCAT data confirmed that the depression has not become any better organized and that the low-level center is on the southern edge of the main convection. T-numbers have remain either steady or decrease slightly, so the initial intensity has been kept at 30 kt at this time. Despite the current lack of organization, the cyclone is expected to be in a very favorable environment of low shear and over warm waters. With these conditions, I have no option but to forecast strengthening. This process will probably be slow during the next day or so, but after that time, the cyclone should strengthen at a faster pace and become a hurricane. This follows the latest intensity guidance which suggest that the most rapid increase in the winds should occur beyond 48 hours. The depression appears to be moving toward the west-northwest or 290 degrees at 11 kt. The steering pattern has not changed, and global models continue to forecast a strong ridge extending from Mexico westward across the Pacific. This flow pattern will keep the cyclone on the same general west-northwestward track for the next 5 days, as indicated by the general guidance. This solution is not different from the previous NHC track forecasts which have been keeping the core of the cyclone well south of the coast of Mexico. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 10.5N 99.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 11.2N 100.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 23/1800Z 12.2N 102.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 24/0600Z 13.0N 104.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 24/1800Z 13.7N 105.5W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 25/1800Z 15.0N 109.0W 85 KT 100 MPH 96H 26/1800Z 16.5N 113.0W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 27/1800Z 17.5N 116.0W 95 KT 110 MPH $$ Forecaster Avila ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Nine-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
    Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 222043 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092017 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 37(48) 12(60) 1(61) X(61) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 7(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 100W 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 100W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) 22(74) 1(75) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 21(41) X(41) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 1(23) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 3(16) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 5(34) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 26(49) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 18(39) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20(30) 20N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 20N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) $$ FORECASTER AVILA ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Nine-E Graphics
    Tropical Depression Nine-E 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 22 Jul 2017 21:34:45 GMT

    Tropical Depression Nine-E 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 22 Jul 2017 21:34:45 GMT ]]>

Tropical Depression Tropical

  • Summary for Tropical Depression Ten-E (EP5/EP102017)
    ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED... As of 3:00 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 the center of Ten-E was located near 14.4, -113.5 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression Ten-E

  • Tropical Depression Ten-E Public Advisory Number 2
    Issued at 300 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 222038 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten-E Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 300 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NOT WELL ORGANIZED... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.4N 113.5W ABOUT 630 MI...1020 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten-E was located near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 113.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast and the depression could become a tropical storm on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
    Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 222038 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.5W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.5W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.5N 115.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N 116.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.5N 117.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 119.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 14.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 13.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Ten-E Forecast Discussion Number 2
    Issued at 300 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 222039 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Ten-E Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102017 300 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017 Satellite images indicate that the center of the depression remains sheared, with the complex center on the northeast side of the main convective mass. Cirrus cloud blowoff from the band in the northwestward quadrant of the cyclone is pretty clearly moving right into the center, causing the asymmetric appearance. Satellite intensity estimates are unchanged, so the initial wind speed will stay at 30 kt. The upper-level environment is not ideal for strengthening with a trough located north of the cyclone. Most of the models lift the trough northward during the next couple of days, which generally causes lighter shear. However, in a few days, increasing easterly shear from the outflow of TD Nine-E is expected to arrest the strengthening of the cyclone. Model guidance, however, is rather divergent, with the statistical-based tools showing little strengthening, while the regional hurricane models all turn the depression into a significant hurricane in a few days. Given that this forecast also depends on how much Nine-E strengthens and a questionable environment, the regional hurricane models look overdone, so the official forecast will stay on the conservative side of the guidance. The depression is moving toward the west at about 6 kt. A ridge between the depression and TS Greg is forecast to steer Ten-E to the west or west-southwest over the next several days. Guidance is not in great agreement, with the GFS and ECMWF showing very different solutions. The GFS has the strongest ridge, which causes the depression to take a sharper turn to the southwest, while the ECMWF is north of all of the other guidance with a weaker ridge and more of an interaction with TD Nine-E. Despite these significant differences, the model consensus remains close to the previous NHC forecast, so little change is made to the latest NHC track prediction. Given the potential binary track interaction, there is a lot of uncertainty at long range with the track forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 14.4N 113.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 14.5N 114.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 23/1800Z 14.5N 115.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 24/0600Z 14.5N 116.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 24/1800Z 14.5N 117.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 72H 25/1800Z 14.5N 119.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 26/1800Z 14.0N 122.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 27/1800Z 13.5N 125.0W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ Forecaster Blake ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Ten-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
    Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 222038 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102017 2100 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 115W 34 18 28(46) 5(51) 3(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) 15N 115W 50 1 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 10N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) 15N 120W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 12(14) 39(53) 9(62) 1(63) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 6(25) X(25) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 10N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Ten-E Graphics
    Tropical Depression Ten-E 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 22 Jul 2017 20:47:12 GMT

    Tropical Depression Ten-E 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 22 Jul 2017 21:41:11 GMT ]]>


Tropical Weather Data (excluded from copyright) courtesy of ...
Weather Underground Tropical Weather

National Hurricane Center