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Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean



NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

 


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
abnt20 knhc 301125
twoat 

tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
800 am edt fri sep 30 2016

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico:

the national hurricane center is issuing advisories on hurricane
matthew, located over the central caribbean sea.

tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
forecaster roberts

Hurricane for

  • Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)
    ...MATTHEW CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... As of 8:00 AM AST Fri Sep 30 the center of MATTHEW was located near 13.8, -70.3 with movement WSW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 971 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 105 mph.

Hurricane MATTHEW

  • Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 9A
    Issued at 800 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 301217 CCA TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 800 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016 Corrected for spelling of Punta Gallinas in summary section. ...MATTHEW CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 70.3W ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM NE OF PUNTA GALLINAS COLOMBIA ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Curacao has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for Curacao. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Aruba * Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew. Interests in Jamaica, Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of Matthew. A hurricane watch may be required for Jamaica later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 70.3 West. Matthew is moving toward the west-southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected later today, and this westward motion with a decrease in forward speed are forecast through Saturday. A turn toward the northwest is expected Saturday night or Sunday. Data from the aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Matthew could become a major hurricane later today or tonight. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The latest minimum central pressure reported by the aircraft was 971 mb (28.67 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Aruba this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions of the watch area in Colombia beginning later today. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through Saturday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected along the coast of Colombia from the Venezuelan border to Riohacha. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected along the coast of Venezuela from Coro to the Colombian border. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brennan ]]>
  • Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 9
    Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 300847 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CURACAO AND ARUBA * COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA... HISPANIOLA...AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 69.9W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......160NE 100SE 50SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 150SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 69.9W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 69.3W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.8N 71.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.7N 72.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.9N 73.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 60SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.5N 74.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 65SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 20.5N 76.0W...INLAND OVER EASTERN CUBA MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.5N 76.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 69.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN ]]>
  • Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion Number 9
    Issued at 500 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016 000 WTNT44 KNHC 300849 TCDAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 500 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016 There are no data currently available from the inner core of Matthew, so it is unclear whether the earlier rapid intensification is continuing. A well-defined elliptical eye is seen in data from the Curacao radar. However, the latest satellite imagery shows that the central convection is somewhat asymmetric and that an eye is yet to form. Satellite intensity estimates are 90 kt from TAFB and 77 kt from SAB. Based on continuity from the previous advisory and no improvement in the satellite signature, the initial intensity is held at a possibly conservative 85 kt. It is notable that the rapid intensification has occurred despite an ongoing 20 kt of southwesterly vertical wind shear. The initial motion is 265/12. There is little change to the track forecast philosophy from the previous advisory. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of Matthew should keep it moving westward or south of westward for the next 36 hours with some decrease in forward speed. From 48-120 hours, the ridge is forecast to weaken and shift eastward as a mid- to upper-level trough moves into the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn northwestward and then northward. There is a significant spread in where the turn will occur and how fast Matthew will move afterwards. The ECMWF and UKMET are on the eastern side of the guidance envelope and slower than the other models, while the GFS and Canadian models are to the left of the center of the guidance envelope and much faster. The various consensus models split these differences in both track and speed, and the new forecast track lies close to them. Overall, the new track is a little south of the previous track through 48 hours and a little west of the previous track from 72-120 hours. The intensity forecast is very problematic. The ongoing shear has so far done little to keep Matthew from intensifying. Despite this, the intensity guidance is in unanimous agreement that the cyclone should weaken from 12-48 hours, most likely due to shear. From 48-96 hours, the shear is expected to diminish, and during that time Matthew is expected to intensify until it interacts with land. The intensity forecast will smooth through what could be some ups and downs in intensity. First, it assumes that the current strengthening will continue for another 12-24 hours, with Matthew reaching major hurricane strength. Then, it keeps the intensity at 100 kt from 24-48 hours, followed by some intensification as the shear lets up. Weakening due to land interaction is forecast after 72 hours. The intensity forecast lies near the upper edge of the intensity guidance, but it is less intense than the HWRF model from 72-120 hours. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/0900Z 14.0N 69.9W 85 KT 100 MPH 12H 30/1800Z 13.8N 71.2W 95 KT 110 MPH 24H 01/0600Z 13.7N 72.5W 100 KT 115 MPH 36H 01/1800Z 13.9N 73.7W 100 KT 115 MPH 48H 02/0600Z 14.5N 74.8W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 03/0600Z 17.0N 76.0W 105 KT 120 MPH 96H 04/0600Z 20.5N 76.0W 90 KT 105 MPH...INLAND 120H 05/0600Z 24.5N 76.0W 85 KT 100 MPH...OVER WATER $$ Forecaster Beven ]]>
  • Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
    Issued at 0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 300848 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PT GALLINAS 34 22 36(58) 3(61) 3(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) PT GALLINAS 50 3 11(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PT GALLINAS 64 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CURACAO 34 4 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20(31) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 18(35) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 20(47) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 12(23) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 20(40) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 11(31) MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 25(32) 10(42) CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 4(18) CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 30(54) 6(60) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 5(29) GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 21(51) 3(54) MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 16(27) 2(29) MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 2(16) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 42(52) 18(70) 2(72) KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 17(40) 2(42) KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) 1(23) LES CAYES 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 24(37) 12(49) 3(52) LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17) 1(18) LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 12(20) 10(30) 2(32) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CAPE BEATA 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 3(14) 7(21) 4(25) 1(26) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) SANTO DOMINGO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN ]]>
  • Hurricane MATTHEW Graphics
    Hurricane MATTHEW 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 30 Sep 2016 11:45:42 GMT

    Hurricane MATTHEW 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 30 Sep 2016 09:05:37 GMT ]]>


Eastern Pacific



NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

 


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
abpz20 knhc 301123
twoep 

tropical weather outlook
nws national hurricane center miami fl
500 am pdt fri sep 30 2016

for the eastern north pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

a trough of low pressure, located a few hundred miles south-
southwest of the southern tip of the baja california peninsula, is
moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  development, if any, of
this system is expected to be slow to occur before the disturbance
reaches cooler waters in a couple of days.
* formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
forecaster roberts


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
no tropical cyclones as of fri, 30 sep 2016 12:35:01 gmt


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